We structure and
manage Alternative*
Investments.

In 2024, markets misjudged the US economy, expecting a recession, while EA’s model correctly identified inflationary growth (“Overheat”). This drove strategic allocations—overweight gold and equities, underweight bonds—yielding an 18% return versus 6% for a balanced strategy. Entering 2025, the focus shifts from data to policy: inflationary pressures persist under Trump’s agenda, while US-China tensions remain key. Opportunities exist in emerging markets, gold and commodities, but fiscal risks, AI’s uncertain impact, and geopolitical challenges demand caution.

The global economy is currently challenged by fiscal pressures, geopolitical conflicts, and shifting monetary policies. China's historically delayed industrial revolution, despite early technological progress, stemmed from an unstable trade system and lack of reliable wealth storage. Today, China is developing a regional financial system independent of the U.S. dollar, aiming for stronger ties with the Global South. Meanwhile, G7 countries are struggling with inflation and growing debt, highlighting a growing economic divergence between these two blocs.

EA’s macro systems look beyond the official CPI statistics to determine the prevailing market financing conditions. Our Monetary Conditions Indicator continues to highlight inflationary pressures. The temptation to create inflation during war or economic hardship remains. Inflation could appear as a quick fix, offering temporary relief before unleashing long-term devastation…